Indiana primaries 2024: Spartz survives, big spenders prevail

As I mentioned earlier, the Republican races throughout the state are crowded with anti-abortion candidates. Checking in with the early results, it looks like ABC is reporting that one incumbent on the list, Baird in the 4th District, is projected to win. ABC News is also reporting that Houchin, who currently represents the 9th District, is projected to win in her primary and will go on to seek reelection in November.

—Monica Potts, 538

We’ve got a few votes counted in the 8th District as well (8 percent of the expected vote, to be precise), which sits in the southwestern corner of the state. This seat attracted a fair bit of outside spending, both in support of Mark Messmer, the state senator currently leading the bunch, and against former Rep. John Hostettler, who represented a predecessor district in the 1990s and 2000s. The race was notable in that it represented the first time AIPAC’s affiliated super PAC, United Democracy Project, got involved in a Republican primary. Previously, it had only spent in Democratic primaries.

—Jacob Rubashkin, Inside Elections

With 12 percent of the expected vote reporting in the Republican primary for the 3rd District, Zay is at 29 percent, Stutzman is at 21 percent, Davis is at 18 percent and Smith is at 17 percent. However, Zay’s lead is likely due to the fact that Huntington County, where a lot of the reported votes are coming from, is in his state Senate district. The Associated Press has results from more counties, including populous Allen County, and currently has a different result: Stutzman 23 percent, Davis 22 percent, Smith 21 percent and Zay 19 percent.

—Nathaniel Rakich, 538

Right now there are more women serving as governors than at any other time — but it's just 12. Of those 12, only four are Republican — Noem of South Dakota, Huckabee Sanders of Arkansas, Ivey of Alabama and Reynolds of Iowa.

Looks like Republicans probably won’t be adding another in Crouch. Crouch was in a good position, too, as the current lieutenant governor of the state. One reason women struggle to win elections at that level is their lack of access to the pipeline. But that pipeline obviously isn't a guarantee.

—Meredith Conroy, 538 contributor