The US just experienced its 3rd-warmest fall on record; Southeast driest fall since 1978: NOAA
Meteorological fall (September-November) was unseasonably warm and dry across much of the contiguous United States, ranking as the third-warmest fall on record, behind 2024 and 2016, according to a new report from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
Above-average temperatures were most pronounced in the Plains and western U.S., with seven states, Idaho, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Texas, Utah and Washington each experiencing their warmest fall on record.
The Southeast recorded its driest fall since 1978 (the sixth driest on record), with Georgia receiving less than half its seasonal average rainfall. Meanwhile, much of the eastern U.S. experienced below-average precipitation, while wetter-than-average conditions prevailed in the Southwest and Plains. Furthermore, several counties in southeastern Arizona, as well as the city of Phoenix, had their wettest fall on record.
The season ended with warmer-than-average and drier-than-average conditions across much of the Lower 48, and November ranked as the fourth-warmest on record. Five states, Idaho, Nevada, Oregon, Texas and Utah, saw their warmest Novembers on record. Precipitation was below average across much of the eastern U.S., with South Carolina marking its lowest November rainfall since 1931 and Florida experiencing its third-driest November on record.

Widespread, persistent drier-than-average conditions in November led to the expansion and intensification of drought across parts of the country.
According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor report released on Dec. 2, about 41.4% of the contiguous U.S. is experiencing drought conditions. Although this represents a 2.3% decrease since the beginning of the month, drought has developed or intensified significantly across the Southeast, southern Plains and upper Mississippi Valley in recent weeks. In contrast, much of the western U.S. saw a reduction in both drought coverage and intensity.
For the remainder of December, above-average precipitation is favored across a large swath of the eastern U.S., from the western Gulf Coast to New England, as well as parts of the northern Rockies and northern Plains, likely bringing drought improvement or removal in some areas. In contrast, below-average precipitation is favored across the central Plains and Florida Peninsula, meaning drought conditions will likely persist or worsen through the end of the month, according to the latest forecast from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center.
- ABC News meteorologist Dan Peck






